Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
-0.25) 
0.09) 
