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League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
MD

Grimsby Town
1 - 3
MK Dons

Rose (16')
Warren (88'), Hume (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gilbey (49'), Hogan (53'), Lemonheigh-Evans (90+5')
Gilbey (65'), Lemonheigh-Evans (90+1'), Harrison (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 0-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 2-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawMK Dons
19.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 21.15% (0.00099999999999767 0) 59.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.38% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.17% (0.030000000000001 0.03)40.82% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79% (0.028999999999996 0.03)63.21% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.037999999999997 0.04)34.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.042000000000002 0.04)71.7% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)13.31% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.15% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 19.13%
    MK Dons 59.71%
    Draw 21.15%
Grimsby TownDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 5.18% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 2.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 19.13%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.65% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 3.37%
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.36%
0-5 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 59.71%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-4 Walsall
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-2 Arsenal U21s (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-5 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two


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