SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Costa Rica |
67.51% ( 9.74) | 20.35% ( -3.64) | 12.14% ( -6.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( -3.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.36% ( 3.3) | 50.64% ( -3.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( 2.84) | 72.55% ( -2.84) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( 4.42) | 14.07% ( -4.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.34% ( 8.04) | 41.66% ( -8.04) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.68% ( -6.68) | 50.32% ( 6.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.12% ( -5.05) | 84.88% ( 5.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 1-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 13.61% ( 2.12)2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 8.9% ( 2.43)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.75)4-0 @ 4.37% ( 1.64)4-1 @ 3% ( 0.74)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.79)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.41)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.27% Total : 67.5% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -1.76) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.99)2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.74)Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.35% | 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -1.83) 1-2 @ 3.28% ( -1.41)0-2 @ 1.67% ( -1.11)Other @ 2.34% Total : 12.14% |
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