Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 54.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Pau had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.2) 
