Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Pau had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.06) 
