Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pau had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
