SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Caen had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Caen |
38.97% ( -0.02) | 26.61% ( 0.03) | 34.41% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( -0.12) | 52.93% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( -0.1) | 74.53% ( 0.1) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.06) | 26.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( -0.08) | 61.73% ( 0.08) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.07) | 29.23% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( -0.08) | 65.18% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.41% |
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