SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Southend United |
27.13% ( -0.16) | 26.73% ( 0.12) | 46.14% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.48% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.05% ( -0.53) | 55.95% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.95% ( -0.43) | 77.05% ( 0.44) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.97% ( -0.42) | 36.03% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.19% ( -0.43) | 72.81% ( 0.44) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -0.21) | 24.21% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( -0.3) | 58.55% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 27.13% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.14% |
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