Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.