Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 65.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamburger SV in this match.
-0.07) 
0.03) 
