SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 1-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Greuther Furth |
53.19% ( -0.37) | 21.2% ( 0.07) | 25.6% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 65.57% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.11% ( -0.02) | 32.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.4% ( -0.03) | 54.59% ( 0.03) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.36% ( -0.11) | 12.64% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.22% ( -0.24) | 38.78% ( 0.24) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 0.2) | 24.94% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( 0.28) | 59.57% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 53.19% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.6% |
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