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HL
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
BC

Hamilton
1 - 0
Brechin

O'Hara (22' pen.)
MacDonald (53'), Tumilty (62'), Martin (65'), Winter (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McArthur (7')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Hamilton Academical and Brechin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clyde 1-3 Hamilton
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Brechin 0-3 Livingston
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3Dumbarton0nan
4East Fife0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stenhousemuir0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 56.47%. A win for Brechin City had a probability of 22.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 1-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Brechin City win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawBrechin City
56.47% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18) 21.08% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 22.45% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 62.05% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.19% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)35.8% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.12% (-0.07 -0.07)57.88% (0.067 0.07)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.35% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)12.65% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.2% (-0.151 -0.15)38.79% (0.14599999999999 0.15)
Brechin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.070999999999998 0.07)28.96% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (0.086999999999996 0.09)64.85% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 56.47%
    Brechin City 22.45%
    Draw 21.08%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawBrechin City
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 56.47%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 22.45%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Clyde 1-3 Hamilton
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 Airdrieonians (5-6 pen.)
Saturday, May 20 at 5.15pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Hamilton (6-6 pen.)
Wednesday, May 17 at 7.35pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Hamilton 5-2 Alloa
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Hamilton
Tuesday, May 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Hamilton
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Brechin 0-3 Livingston
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 3-3 Brechin (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Brechin 1-1 Stirling (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hibernian U21s 1-1 Brechin (1-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Brechin 1-3 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 11 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Brechin 1-0 Alloa
Tuesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup


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