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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
47.15% ( 3.64) | 25.02% ( -0.53) | 27.82% ( -3.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.17% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( 0.64) | 48.78% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( 0.58) | 70.88% ( -0.59) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 1.91) | 20.72% ( -1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.66% ( 2.93) | 53.33% ( -2.94) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( -1.91) | 31.66% ( 1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( -2.26) | 68.07% ( 2.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.69)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.58)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.64% Total : 47.14% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.52)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.61)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.34)Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.82% |
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