SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 21.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
57.52% ( -0.77) | 20.88% ( 0.19) | 21.6% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 61.53% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.06% ( -0.1) | 35.94% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.97% ( -0.11) | 58.03% ( 0.11) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( -0.25) | 12.39% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.74% ( -0.52) | 38.26% ( 0.52) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( 0.45) | 29.77% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( 0.55) | 65.84% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.23% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.88% | 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.01% Total : 21.6% |
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