Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby Women win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City Women in this match.
Result | ||
Hammarby Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
48.99% ( 0.16) | 24.51% ( -0.03) | 26.5% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.78% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.51% ( 0.04) | 47.49% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.3% ( 0.04) | 69.7% ( -0.04) |
Hammarby Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% ( 0.08) | 19.43% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.74% ( 0.13) | 51.26% ( -0.13) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% ( -0.08) | 32.01% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% ( -0.09) | 68.48% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Hammarby Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.99% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.5% |
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