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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hampton & Richmond would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Chelmsford City |
47.6% ( -0.18) | 25.98% ( 0.16) | 26.42% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( -0.62) | 53.52% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( -0.52) | 75.03% ( 0.52) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( -0.34) | 22.49% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( -0.51) | 56.04% ( 0.51) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.71% ( -0.32) | 35.29% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.95% ( -0.33) | 72.05% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 47.6% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.42% |
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