Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.07) 
