Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnet in this match.
-0)
0)
