SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
47.08% ( -0.01) | 24.05% ( 0) | 28.87% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( -0.01) | 43.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% ( -0.01) | 66.23% ( 0.01) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( -0.01) | 18.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.82% ( -0.01) | 50.18% ( 0.01) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0) | 28.37% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( 0) | 64.11% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.87% |
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