Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
49.86% (![]() | 23.19% (![]() | 26.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.76% (![]() | 41.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.37% (![]() | 63.63% (![]() |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.29% (![]() | 16.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.4% (![]() | 46.59% (![]() |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.61% (![]() | 28.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.87% (![]() | 64.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-1 @ 9.56% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.86% | 1-1 @ 10.68% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 6.73% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 3.57% Total : 26.95% |
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