SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
46.23% ( -0.81) | 24.77% ( 0.08) | 29% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( 0.07) | 46.99% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( 0.06) | 69.23% ( -0.06) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( -0.32) | 20.39% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( -0.51) | 52.82% ( 0.51) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( 0.56) | 29.88% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.03% ( 0.68) | 65.97% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.23% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.23% Total : 29% |
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