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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a St Mirren win it was 2-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Celtic |
13.58% ( -0.19) | 17.75% ( 0.02) | 68.66% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0.56) | 35.59% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.36% ( -0.62) | 57.64% ( 0.62) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% ( -0.64) | 38.47% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.77% ( -0.61) | 75.22% ( 0.61) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.58% ( -0.11) | 9.42% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.33% ( -0.26) | 31.67% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.58% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.75% | 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 7.96% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 7.61% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.43% Total : 68.66% |
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