SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
39.9% ( -0.02) | 26.08% ( 0.06) | 34.02% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% ( -0.23) | 50.76% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% ( -0.21) | 72.66% ( 0.21) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( -0.12) | 25.03% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.29% ( -0.16) | 59.71% ( 0.16) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( -0.14) | 28.41% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.83% ( -0.17) | 64.16% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.02% |
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