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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
LL

Union Berlin
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Woo-yeong (29')
Rothe (28'), Querfeld (63'), Trimmel (67'), Mukiele (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Frimpong (2'), Schick (71')
Andrich (21'), Skov (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Salzburg
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Following their resounding victory in the Champions League, Leverkusen will come into Saturday's match full of confidence. Though Union Berlin boast a strong home record, the visitors have also been resilient on the road, and it would not be surprising if they claimed all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
22.07% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 22.9% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 55.02% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.09% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)44.74% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.069000000000003 0.07)67.1% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.3% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (0.051999999999992 0.05)16.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.42% (0.091999999999999 0.09)45.57% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 22.07%
    Bayer Leverkusen 55.01%
    Draw 22.9%
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 22.07%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 10.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 55.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg
Friday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, October 27 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Salzburg
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Stuttgart
Friday, November 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Elversberg
Tuesday, October 29 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal


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