SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
22.07% ( -0.05) | 22.9% ( -0.03) | 55.02% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0.07) | 44.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( 0.07) | 67.1% ( -0.07) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( -0) | 34.3% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% ( -0) | 71.01% ( 0) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( 0.05) | 16.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% ( 0.09) | 45.57% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 22.07% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 55.01% |
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