Union Berlin have struggled for goals this season, and it is difficult to see how they could get back into the game were they to concede first.
Despite their loss against RB Leipzig, Freiburg have a good away record this season, and it would not be surprising if they emerged victorious on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 30.12% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.39%).