SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Heidenheim |
66.41% ( -1.8) | 18.51% ( 0.72) | 15.08% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.14% ( -1.04) | 35.86% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.06% ( -1.15) | 57.94% ( 1.16) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.97% ( -0.7) | 10.03% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.91% ( -1.65) | 33.09% ( 1.65) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% ( 0.77) | 36.63% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.58% ( 0.77) | 73.41% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.22)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.41% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.51% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.21% Total : 15.08% |
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