Although Heidenheim have began the campaign in slightly better fettle than expected, they have looked extremely open defensively at times, and we expect Union Berlin to punish them this weekend.
Fischer's side are simply too good for their current poor run of form to continue much longer, and they will be targeting Saturday's fixture as an excellent opportunity to return to winning ways.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heidenheim in this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
