SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Slough Town |
32.64% ( -4.04) | 23.48% ( -0.05) | 43.88% ( 4.09) |
| Both teams to score 62.32% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.69% ( -0.71) | 39.31% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.35% ( -0.75) | 61.65% ( 0.75) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( -2.5) | 23.74% ( 2.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% ( -3.74) | 57.88% ( 3.74) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( 1.48) | 18.28% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.65% ( 2.45) | 49.34% ( -2.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Slough Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.54) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.55)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.56)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.45)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.32)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.64% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.75)1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.48)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.57)1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.3)Other @ 3.66% Total : 43.88% |
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