SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Henan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
47.6% ( -0.02) | 26.32% ( 0.11) | 26.08% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.95% ( -0.48) | 55.05% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.69% ( -0.4) | 76.31% ( 0.4) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( -0.22) | 23.13% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( -0.32) | 57% ( 0.32) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( -0.34) | 36.41% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% ( -0.34) | 73.2% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 47.6% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.08% |
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