SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Henan had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Henan win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Henan |
59.44% ( 0.84) | 21.02% ( -0.34) | 19.53% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.38% ( 0.81) | 39.61% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.03% ( 0.84) | 61.96% ( -0.84) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( 0.51) | 13.01% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.46% ( 1.03) | 39.53% ( -1.03) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( -0.03) | 33.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( -0.04) | 70.51% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Henan |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.58% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.14% Total : 19.53% |
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