Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.