SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
51.5% ( 0.13) | 25.12% ( 0.08) | 23.37% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.78% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.5) | 52.57% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.44) | 74.23% ( 0.44) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -0.15) | 20.41% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.15% ( -0.24) | 52.85% ( 0.24) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.47) | 37.45% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.76% ( -0.47) | 74.24% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 51.49% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.37% |
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