SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Henan had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Henan win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Henan |
60.1% ( -0.13) | 21.7% ( 0.08) | 18.2% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.22% ( -0.3) | 44.78% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.86% ( -0.28) | 67.14% ( 0.28) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( -0.14) | 14.48% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.54% ( -0.27) | 42.46% ( 0.27) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( -0.12) | 38.31% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( -0.11) | 75.07% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Henan |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.2% |
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