SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
46.54% ( 0.78) | 26.67% ( -0.02) | 26.78% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.06% ( -0.38) | 55.94% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% ( -0.31) | 77.04% ( 0.31) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( 0.21) | 24.01% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( 0.3) | 58.27% ( -0.3) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% ( -0.83) | 36.3% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.91% ( -0.85) | 73.09% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.78% |
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