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National League North | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
3 - 1
Scarborough Ath

Babos (33'), Cowley (48'), Ceesay (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mulhern (74' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawScarborough Athletic
58.46% (-0.314 -0.31) 23.43% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 18.1% (0.287 0.29)
Both teams to score 47.25% (0.421 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95% (0.29300000000001 0.29)52.05% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22% (0.253 0.25)73.78% (-0.253 -0.25)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)48.07% (0.012 0.01)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.3% (0.514 0.51)42.7% (-0.515 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.97% (0.437 0.44)79.03% (-0.435 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 58.45%
    Scarborough Athletic 18.1%
    Draw 23.43%
Hereford UnitedDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 11.34% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.58% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 58.45%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.72% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.045 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 18.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Hereford
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 4-1 Banbury
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 5-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-0 King's Lynn
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Forest Green 5-2 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Alfreton 1-3 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup


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