SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
58.46% ( -0.31) | 23.43% ( 0.03) | 18.1% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% ( 0.29) | 52.05% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( 0.25) | 73.78% ( -0.25) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( -0.01) | 17.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.93% ( -0.01) | 48.07% ( 0.01) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.3% ( 0.51) | 42.7% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.97% ( 0.44) | 79.03% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 58.45% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.79% Total : 18.1% |
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