Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.01) 
