SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huachipato | Draw | Estudiantes |
40.08% ( -0.63) | 28.02% ( -0.05) | 31.9% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.2% ( 0.32) | 58.79% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.69% ( 0.25) | 79.31% ( -0.25) |
| Huachipato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -0.2) | 28.69% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( -0.25) | 64.51% ( 0.24) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.66) | 33.89% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( 0.7) | 70.56% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huachipato | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.9% |
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