Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Huachipato had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Huachipato win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.