SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for The Strongest had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest The Strongest win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huachipato | Draw | The Strongest |
47.34% ( -0.2) | 24.75% ( 0.03) | 27.92% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( -0.04) | 47.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( -0.04) | 69.74% ( 0.03) |
| Huachipato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( -0.1) | 20.14% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( -0.16) | 52.41% ( 0.16) |
| The Strongest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( 0.1) | 30.95% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( 0.12) | 67.25% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huachipato | Draw | The Strongest |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.34% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.92% |
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