SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | -7 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Kosovo |
48.21% ( -0) | 26.74% ( 0.01) | 25.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.85% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( -0.03) | 57.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% ( -0.02) | 78.09% ( 0.02) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( -0.01) | 23.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% ( -0.02) | 57.97% ( 0.02) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.48% ( -0.02) | 38.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.73% ( -0.02) | 75.27% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Kosovo |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.21% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 25.06% |
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