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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Nationala
KN

Romania
2 - 0
Kosovo

Stanciu (83'), Mihaila (90+3')
Burca (9'), Puscas (34'), Bancu (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Berisha (14'), Muriqi (19'), Rrahmani (34'), Gliha (45+1'), Vojvoda (52'), Loshaj (59'), Bekaj (90+6')
Muriqi (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Romania 1-1 Israel
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Switzerland5911
2Romania539
3Israel5-18
4Kosovo5-14
5Belarus5-64
6Andorra5-42
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kosovo 2-2 Switzerland
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Switzerland5911
2Romania539
3Israel5-18
4Kosovo5-14
5Belarus5-64
6Andorra5-42

We said: Romania 2-1 Kosovo

It is unlikely to be easy for Romania, but the Tricolorii should just get the better of tricky opposition to maintain their spot in Group I's top two. Kosovo have just struggled to get over the line and claim victories against supposed superior opposition in this group, and they could come up just short again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawKosovo
52.12% (0.012 0.01) 25.81% (0.004999999999999 0) 22.07% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.35% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)56.32% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.35% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.67% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.17% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)40.83% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)77.4% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Romania 52.11%
    Kosovo 22.07%
    Draw 25.81%
RomaniaDrawKosovo
1-0 @ 13.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 22.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Romania 1-1 Israel
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Switzerland 2-2 Romania
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kosovo 0-0 Romania
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Romania 2-1 Belarus
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Andorra 0-2 Romania
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Romania
Sunday, November 20 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kosovo 2-2 Switzerland
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belarus 2-1 Kosovo
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kosovo 0-0 Romania
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kosovo 1-1 Andorra
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 1-1 Kosovo
Saturday, March 25 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kosovo 1-1 Faroe Islands
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies


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