SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Romania | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Israel | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 5 | Belarus | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 6 | Andorra | 6 | -7 | 2 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Romania | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Israel | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 5 | Belarus | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 6 | Andorra | 6 | -7 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.49%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Andorra | Draw | Kosovo |
13.7% ( 0.01) | 22.34% ( 0.01) | 63.97% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.3% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.02% ( -0.01) | 54.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% ( -0.01) | 76.26% ( 0.01) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.56% ( 0) | 50.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.04% ( 0.01) | 84.96% ( -0.01) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( -0.01) | 16.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.49% ( -0.01) | 46.52% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Andorra | Draw | Kosovo |
| 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 13.7% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 15.06% 0-2 @ 13.49% 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 8.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.52% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.61% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.89% 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.96% |
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