SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 34.98%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 2-1 (6.47%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (14.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Lanus |
34.98% ( -0.64) | 31.98% ( 0.19) | 33.04% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 37.22% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.46) | 70.8% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.26% ( -0.29) | 87.74% ( 0.29) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% ( -0.71) | 38.28% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% ( -0.69) | 75.04% ( 0.69) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% ( 0.07) | 39.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.63% ( 0.07) | 76.37% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.59% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.64% Total : 34.98% | 0-0 @ 15.19% ( 0.26) 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.97% | 0-1 @ 14.04% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.45% Total : 33.04% |
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