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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
H

Lanus
1 - 0
Huracan

Belmonte (45+2')
Acosta (9'), Belmonte (37'), Orozco (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hezze (64'), Benitez (72')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Huracan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Sarmiento
Saturday, April 22 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 1-1 Danubio
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.

Result
LanusDrawHuracan
41.25% (-0.78599999999999 -0.79) 29.29% (0.22 0.22) 29.46% (0.571 0.57)
Both teams to score 42.88% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.33% (-0.508 -0.51)63.67% (0.515 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.05% (-0.363 -0.36)82.95% (0.37 0.37)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (-0.699 -0.7)30.41% (0.705 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (-0.844 -0.84)66.62% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Huracan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63% (0.174 0.17)38.37% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (0.165 0.16)75.13% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 41.25%
    Huracan 29.45%
    Draw 29.28%
LanusDrawHuracan
1-0 @ 13.89%
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 41.25%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 11.67% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.28%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 29.45%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Sarmiento
Saturday, April 22 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 4-4 Lanus
Tuesday, April 18 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-1 Lanus
Wednesday, April 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 3-0 Arsenal
Friday, April 7 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, March 21 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 1-1 Danubio
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Huracan 2-1 Arsenal
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 1-0 Huracan
Tuesday, April 25 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Emelec 1-0 Huracan
Friday, April 21 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Huracan 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Huracan
Wednesday, April 12 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division


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