SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Huracan |
50.29% ( -0.68) | 26.19% ( 0.17) | 23.52% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 46.89% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.55% ( -0.18) | 56.45% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% ( -0.15) | 77.45% ( 0.15) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( -0.37) | 22.52% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% ( -0.56) | 56.09% ( 0.57) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( 0.39) | 39.49% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% ( 0.36) | 76.18% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.85% Total : 50.28% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.52% |
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