Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Union had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
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