SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Varnamo |
44.21% ( -0.1) | 24.58% ( 0.28) | 31.21% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( -1.33) | 45.04% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( -1.29) | 67.39% ( 1.3) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( -0.59) | 20.47% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( -0.95) | 52.95% ( 0.96) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( -0.76) | 27.39% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% ( -1) | 62.86% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.21% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.21% |
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