SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
34.54% ( 0.45) | 25.47% ( 0.17) | 39.99% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.97% ( -0.69) | 48.03% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( -0.63) | 70.19% ( 0.63) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.06) | 26.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( -0.07) | 62.05% ( 0.07) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( -0.62) | 23.76% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.09% ( -0.9) | 57.91% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.54% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.99% |
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