SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Tigre |
32.22% ( 0.02) | 28.71% ( 0.02) | 39.06% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.28% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.85% ( -0.08) | 61.15% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% ( -0.06) | 81.1% ( 0.06) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( -0.03) | 34.9% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% ( -0.03) | 71.64% ( 0.03) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( -0.06) | 30.44% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% ( -0.08) | 66.64% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.22% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.71% | 0-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.05% |
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