SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Independiente |
70.03% ( 0.31) | 19.53% ( -0.25) | 10.44% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 39.8% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( 0.8) | 51.47% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( 0.7) | 73.27% ( -0.7) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( 0.34) | 13.56% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.35% ( 0.68) | 40.65% ( -0.68) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.04% ( 0.38) | 53.96% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.75% ( 0.23) | 87.25% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 70.02% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.53% | 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 10.44% |
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