Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.71%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.85%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
Result | ||
Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente |
43.71% ( 0.27) | 31.07% ( -0) | 25.22% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 36.59% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
29.8% ( -0.11) | 70.2% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.64% ( -0.07) | 87.36% ( 0.07) |
Rosario Central Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( 0.1) | 32.39% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% ( 0.11) | 68.9% ( -0.11) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.12% ( -0.32) | 45.88% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.37% ( -0.25) | 81.63% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente |
1-0 @ 16.75% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 43.71% | 0-0 @ 14.85% ( 0.05) 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.06% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.55% Total : 25.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: