SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.71%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.85%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente |
43.71% ( 0.27) | 31.07% ( -0) | 25.22% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 36.59% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.8% ( -0.11) | 70.2% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.64% ( -0.07) | 87.36% ( 0.07) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( 0.1) | 32.39% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% ( 0.11) | 68.9% ( -0.11) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.12% ( -0.32) | 45.88% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.37% ( -0.25) | 81.63% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 16.75% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 43.71% | 0-0 @ 14.85% ( 0.05) 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.06% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.55% Total : 25.21% |
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