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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
I

Rosario
1 - 0
Independiente

Campaz (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Costa (90+7')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Rosario
Sunday, April 9 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-2 Estudiantes
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.71%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.85%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawIndependiente
43.71% (0.268 0.27) 31.07% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.22% (-0.269 -0.27)
Both teams to score 36.59% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.8% (-0.108 -0.11)70.2% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.64% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)87.36% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (0.096000000000004 0.1)32.39% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (0.108 0.11)68.9% (-0.11 -0.11)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12% (-0.32 -0.32)45.88% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.37% (-0.25 -0.25)81.63% (0.247 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 43.71%
    Independiente 25.21%
    Draw 31.06%
Rosario CentralDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 16.75% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 43.71%
0-0 @ 14.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.87% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 31.06%
0-1 @ 11.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 25.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Rosario
Sunday, April 9 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 3-1 Gimnasia
Friday, March 31 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 0-2 Rosario
Tuesday, March 21 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Union
Monday, March 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 4-1 Rosario
Friday, March 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Saturday, February 25 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-2 Estudiantes
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Independiente
Saturday, April 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-2 Colon
Saturday, March 18 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Independiente
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-2 Instituto
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 0-0 Independiente
Monday, February 27 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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